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Real Exchange Rate Misalignment and Trade Flows in Nigeria (1960-2013)
Ibrahim W1.
The paper examined the effects of real exchange rate misalignment on trade flows
in Nigeria between the year 1960 and 2013. Trade flows were divided into export
flow, import and trade balance. The paper employed the behavioural equilibrium
exchange rate (BEER) approach to obtain the equilibrium real exchange rate for
Nigeria and a single equation co-integration approach to determine the effect of
exchange rate misalignment on trade flows. It was observed that Nigeria’s real
effective exchange rate appreciated in most periods between 1960 and 1985 and
depreciated in most periods between 1986 and 2013. The result of the study
further indicates that real exchange misalignment has no significant effect on the
volume of export but it has a significant depreciating effect on import and trade
balance in the country. The study recommends a flexible exchange rate system
to reduce real exchange rate misalignment and diversified export products to
enable volume export responds to real exchange rate movements in the country.
Affiliation:
- Universiti Utara Malaysia, Malaysia
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