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Modelling risky investment by considering geometric brownian motion using musyarakah concept
Noor Azizah Mazeni1, Nur Azimah Idris2, Maheran Mohd Jaffar3.
In Islamic investment, the most distinctive element is the prohibition of
interest or riba. In order to avoid riba in investment, Islamic banking and
finance has developed profit-loss-sharing systems which claim to be
primarily based on Islamic concept. One of the Islamic concepts that
involve the profit-loss-sharing system is musyarakah concept. In
musyarakah, two or more parties which are known as capital provider
and entrepreneur will share the profit and loss during the investment.
This study develops the new musyarakah investment model by considering
the rate of return as a total of a deterministic profit rate and a function of
white noise. This model can be used in forecasting the investment in the
stock market. Based on the results obtained, this model is useful in
forecasting the musyarakah investment and return for two parties since
the results show the accurate forecast investment. The profit from the
musyarakah investment, then is compared with profit from single
investment that uses geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model. The result
shows that the difference profit between these investments is small. It can
be concluded that the new musyarakah investment model can be used in
order to forecast the profit for both parties with two difference profit
sharing rates.
Affiliation:
- Universiti Utara Malaysia, Malaysia
- Universiti Utara Malaysia, Malaysia
- Universiti Utara Malaysia, Malaysia
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