Substantial shareholders and their trading behaviour around lock-up expiry: evidence from emerging markets
Abdolhossein Zameni1, Othman Yong2.
This paper examines the effects of substantial shareholders’ trading
behaviour on share prices, trading volume and bid–ask spread in relation to the
efficient market hypothesis (EMH) around the lock-up expiry for a sample of
379 Malaysian IPOs, between 2001-2011. Our analysis shows that the number
of companies with substantial institutional and individual shareholders has
increased after the IPO. This indicates that individual and substantial investors
are optimistic about the future of the IPO companies in general. In addition,
the number of existing substantial individual and institutional shareholders that
sold their shares is greater than the existing substantial individual and
institutional shareholders that bought shares. That is the reason why we witness
an abnormal trading volume and abnormal bid–ask spread, which leads to
abnormal returns. The two other categories, ‘new individual investors that
came in as substantial shareholders after lock-up expiry’ and ‘new institutional
investors that came in as substantial shareholders after lock-up expiry’, show
that some investors are still optimistic about the future of these IPO companies.
Our analysis shows an increase in trading volume before the lock-up expiry
date by substantial shareholders, which is an indicator of illegal insider trading.
Consequently, market makers to protect themselves would increase the spread,
which results in a price drop. Significant cumulative average abnormal returns
show inconsistency about the EMH. The results are vital to provide input into
the enforcement of laws to regulate insider trading. This is to strengthen the
legal regimen to prevent the influences of insider trading.
Affiliation:
- University of Reading Malaysia, Malaysia
- Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Malaysia