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Hydroclimatic data prediction using a new ensemble group method of data handling coupled with artificial bee colony algorithm
Basri Badyalina1, Nurkhairany Amyra Mokhtar2, Nur Amalina Mat Jan3, Muhammad Fadhil Marsani4, Mohamad Faizal Ramli5, Muhammad Majid6, Fatin Farazh Ya’acob7.
Linear regression is widely used in flood quantile study that consists of meteorological and physiographical variables. However, linear regression does not capture the complex nonlinear relationship between predictor and target variables. It is rare to find a hydrological application using the group method of data handling (GMDH) model, artificial bee colony (ABC) algorithm, and ensemble technique, precisely predicting ungauged sites. GMDH model is known to be an effective model in complying with a nonlinear relationship. Therefore, in this paper, we enhance the GMDH model by implementing the ABC algorithm to optimize the parameter of partial description GMDH model with some transfer functions, namely polynomial, radial basis, sigmoid and hyperbolic tangent function. Then, ensemble averaging combines the output from those various transfer functions and becomes the new ensemble GMDH model coupled with the ABC algorithm (EGMDH-ABC) model. The results show that this method significantly improves the prediction performance of the GMDH model. The EGMDH-ABC model satisfies the nonlinearity in data to produce a better estimation. Also, it provides more robust, accurate, and efficient results.
Affiliation:
- Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia
- Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia
- Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Malaysia
- Universiti Sains Malaysia, Malaysia
- Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia
- Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia
- Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia
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Indexation |
Indexed by |
MyJurnal (2021) |
H-Index
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6 |
Immediacy Index
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0.000 |
Rank |
0 |
Indexed by |
Web of Science (SCIE - Science Citation Index Expanded) |
Impact Factor
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JCR (1.009) |
Rank |
Q4 (Multidisciplinary Sciences) |
Additional Information |
JCI (0.15) |
Indexed by |
Scopus 2020 |
Impact Factor
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CiteScore (1.4) |
Rank |
Q2 (Multidisciplinary) |
Additional Information |
SJR (0.251) |
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