View Article |
Relationship between loss of load expectation and reserve margin for optimal generation planning
Siti Rasheeka Muhamad Zafir1, Noor Miza Muhamad Razali2, Tengku Juhana Tengku Hashim3.
Generation planning utilizes reliability indices as criteria to ensure adequacy in terms of
total installed capacity. Reserve Margin and Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) are the most
widely-used indices in generation adequacy evaluation. Reserve Margin is a measure of
available capacity over and above the capacity needed to meet normal peak demand
levels. In Peninsular Malaysia, the amount of Reserve Margin has been perceived to be
high. Generally, high Reserve Margin can provide high reliability. However, it acquires more
generation plant, for which some of them may not be necessary. This may indicate over
investment which will be reflected in the tariff structure. LOLE is a probabilistic measure
which indicates the risk at which the generation capacity fails to meet the demand and its
evaluation involves specific parameters such as the plant capacity and outage rate of
each generating unit. Therefore, in order to have optimum generation planning and
investment efficiency, it is necessary to perform a study on the practical Reserve Margin
level with respect to the current LOLE requirement without endangering the overall power
system reliability. This research studies the factors affecting LOLE and evaluates the
relationship between Reserve Margin and LOLE under various conditions. A modified
Peninsular Malaysia system is simulated using Wien Automatic System Planning (WASP -IV)
to determine LOLE focusing on thermal power plants. This study concludes that peak load
and forced outage rate give significant impacts to the LOLE and thus, the reliability of the
system. Effort to ensure availability especially during peak load may need to be intensified.
The study also establishes an inverse exponential curve for the relationship between
Reserve Margin and LOLE. It is found that the outcome of the study is to enhance
generation planning decision making in obtaining the optimum Reserve Margin
considering the LOLE under various conditions.
Affiliation:
- Universiti Tenaga Nasional, Malaysia
- Universiti Tenaga Nasional, Malaysia
- Universiti Tenaga Nasional, Malaysia
Download this article (This article has been downloaded 134 time(s))
|
|
Indexation |
Indexed by |
MyJurnal (2021) |
H-Index
|
6 |
Immediacy Index
|
0.000 |
Rank |
0 |
Indexed by |
Scopus 2020 |
Impact Factor
|
CiteScore (1.4) |
Rank |
Q3 (Engineering (all)) |
Additional Information |
SJR (0.191) |
|
|
|